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Firesmith Systems

Foresight-Redundancy

Systems that bend before they break.

Stop reacting to failures. Start predicting them. Foresight-Redundancy detects invisible drift in your data to give you a 2-week head start on maintenance.

The problem: too much data, too little foresight

Operations teams are buried in dashboards, thresholds, and alarms. What they really need to know isn’t “Is this number high?” — it’s:

“How long can I trust this system before it becomes expensive?”

Foresight-Redundancy answers this by measuring a system’s temporal horizon — how far ahead it remains predictable.

Simple traffic-light interpretation

  • 🟢 GREEN – Stable: horizon is long; no action needed.
  • 🟡 YELLOW – Watch: horizon shortening; verify readings, plan maintenance.
  • 🔴 RED – Act: horizon collapsed; adjust, clean, or replace the asset.

Sensor Drift – Predictive Horizon Collapse

Sensor drift horizon collapse

"Fig 1: The 2-week warning window. While the sensor looks fine to the naked eye, the FR score (bottom chart) warns you to recalibrate."

How it works: forecast the future, not the present

FR fits a small forecasting model onto your live readings and asks:

“How far ahead does the prediction stay accurate before error grows too large?”

  • Long horizon → system stable and cheap to ignore
  • Shortening horizon → system drifting, cost rising
  • Collapsed horizon → system cannot see its future; time to act

Wifi Collapse – FR Horizon

Wifi strain and horizon collapse

"Fig 2: The 'Horizon' (orange line) drops to zero 4 hours before the user actually complains about slow Wifi."

Where Foresight-Redundancy helps

  • Greenhouse Operations: Detect drifting humidity/EC probes before they mislead climate computers.
  • Solar Arrays: Distinguish weather events from hardware strain to stop unnecessary truck rolls.
  • Municipal Water/Waste: Catch unstable pumps and valves before the standard alarms trigger.

What FR delivers

  • Earlier warnings than threshold-based alarms
  • Fewer nuisance alerts than anomaly detection
  • An economic trigger for intervention

Start with your data

I’m currently running pilots with teams who want clearer reliability insight and fewer false alarms — using the data they already collect.

Validate your data for free. Don't guess if your sensors are drifting. Send me a CSV export (1 week of data), and I will send you back a Foresight Report showing exactly when you should have intervened.

bruce@firesmith.ca